Rainfall Situation and Prospects of Flooding in August to October 2016
The Nigerian Meteorological Agency, NiMet, in exercise of its mandate to monitor the weather and climate of the country at all times, and working in collaboration with the Nigerian Hydrological Services Agency has been monitoring rainfall events across the Country.
After thorough analyses of rainfall data from our observatories nationwide for June and July, we wish to provide the following information and advisories to the public, especially those in the affected areas:
(i) Soil moisture has either reached saturation, or near saturation levels due to cumulative high intensity rainfall in some parts of the country in June and July. The affected States include: Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Benue, Borno, Cross River, Delta, Kaduna, Kwara, Nasarawa, Yobe and Zamfara. This means that floods should be expected in these areas because the soil is no longer able to absorb more rainwater in the coming weeks which coincide with the peak rainy season.
(ii) It will be recalled that in the 2016 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction (SRP), NiMet stated that while many parts of the country will experience lower than-normal total rainfall due to the effect of El Nino, flooding could still be experienced in such areas; particularly those that are naturally prone to flooding. The SRP identified parts of the Northwest, Southwest and low-lying areas, as particularly vulnerable to flooding during 2016 rainy season.
(iii) These observations and projections are also in agreement with the 2016 Annual Flood Outlook (AFO) that was released by the Nigerian Hydrological Services Agency (NIHSA).
Governments, communities and individuals in these vulnerable parts of the country are advised to take proactive actions, such as clearing water channels and drainages, and also avoid activities that block the free flow of flood waters. Closer attention should also be paid to NiMet’s daily weather forecasts and alerts. It is further advised that relevant Agencies should perfect their emergency evacuation plans and activate them as soon as necessary. Meanwhile NiMet will continue to monitor the rainfall pattern as well as general weather conditions across the country and issue updates from time to time.
Daily weather situation across the Country can also be accessed on NiMet web portal www.nimet.gov.ng/daily-weather. Please contact NiMet on 08038620950 or 07030209677 for any further information on rainfall or daily weather situation.
8 August 2016.